The old ethnic conflict in Afghanistan has become the intermediary War rivalry between the two nucl

The old ethnic conflict in Afghanistan has become the intermediary War rivalry between the two nuclear powers regiona.Vrazhdebnostta between India and Pakistan, which lasts for more than 60 years, is the basis of the current war in Afghanistan. Most Western observers accept spi conflict as a battle against NATO al-Qaeda and the Taliban. In fact, it has long been not so - we think that about us, but it is true. Instead, our troops spi are now bogged down in a complex spi war, forming two pre-existing conflict: one internal, spi the other regional.
Inside the Afghanistan war is perceived primarily as a Pashtun uprising against the regime of President Hamid Karzai, who empower other three ethnic groups - Tajiks, Uzbeks and gambling, to a degree that causes discontent among Pashtuns. spi Although Mr. Karzai is Pashtun, many see it as a cover for a planned U.S. change the balance of power since 2001 when the U.S. toppled composed mainly Pashtun Taliban. By supporting the Tajiks from northern provinces against Pashtuns from southern U.S. unwittingly took part in a civil war that lasted from the 70s of the 20th century.
Today, Tajiks, who make up 27 percent of the population of Afghanistan are 70 percent of the officers in the Afghan army. Because of this, many Pashtuns - who are 40 percent of the population - supported or at least vaguely sympathetic to the Taliban.
Behind this internal conflict dangerously rising much more dangerous feud between two regional nuclear powers India and Pakistan. In fact, the U.S., Britain and NATO play a minor role, and unlike India and Pakistan move towards the exit. The simple truth is that the Taliban are so good positions in Afghanistan because they are supported by Pakistan. And they are supported by Pakistan because Pakistan's generals are afraid of ending up in a vise Indian stood not only against spi the massive Indian presence in the south, but also against proindiyski regime in the north of Afghanistan. By the division of the subcontinent in 1947, India and Pakistan have fought three wars, the most recent was in 1971, and seemed ready to resort to nuclear weapons against each other during Kargilskata crisis in 1999
After the U.S. drove the Taliban spi from power, there is a significant strategic change - the Afghan government became an ally of India, which justify the fears of Pakistanis. Karzai passionately hated Pakistan, partly because they believe that Pakistani intelligence helped the murder spi of his father in 1999, the same time he felt a strong emotional commitment spi to India, where he drove his higher education. When I interviewed Karzai in early March, he spoke warmly for your stay in Simla as the happiest days in my life. With the advent of Karzai to power India seize the opportunity spi to increase its political and economic influence in Afghanistan, re-opened its embassy in Kabul, opened four regional consulates and grant aid for restoration totaling 1.5 billion dollars. spi
Pakistani spi generals have long perceived jihadist as inexpensive means of which can easily be differentiated spi to control events in Afghanistan and Kashmir. It is unclear how many of them still support this strategy and how wavered. Obviously there are generals in the Pakistani army and intelligence are now alarmed by the scale of the religious and political violence that jihadists have raised in Pakistan. But others spi dispute this position and continue to believe that the jihadists are more practical defense against Indian hegemony even nuclear weapons. For them the support of carefully selected jihadists in Afghanistan is a vital strategy for survival, which is worth the risk. Pakistani army chief General Ashfaq Parvez Kayani was once in that camp. How changed spi its position remains a contentious issue.
Pakistan, however, observers agree that while Kayani realizing Taliban threat to their own country, continues to burn thought the presence of India in Afghanistan. As I said a senior British diplomat in Islamabad: "Currently, Afghanistan is all he thinks about Kayani and who wants to talk. Is that inform spi it, and this is the basis on which attention. Currently leads the Indo-Pakistani War intermediary. spi "
Much will depend on what will solve India. It is unclear whether her government will choose to play a more important role in Afghanistan after the departure of U.S. troops. spi Some Indian "hawks" say that the adoption of a more active military role in Afghanistan, spi India can fill the security vacuum that will occur after the withdrawal of the U.S. to develop its regional interests, to compete with rival China for influence in the country and also to neutralize Pakistan's enemy.
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